Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000156 0.000172 0.000190 0.000210 0.000233 0.000258 0.000288
2025-06-08 0.000121 0.000144 0.000170 0.000203 0.000244 0.000293 0.000355
2025-06-15 0.000104 0.000130 0.000163 0.000206 0.000263 0.000335 0.000436
2025-06-22 0.000093 0.000121 0.000158 0.000210 0.000282 0.000379 0.000524
2025-06-29 0.000082 0.000110 0.000149 0.000206 0.000288 0.000405 0.000588
2025-07-06 0.000071 0.000099 0.000138 0.000197 0.000286 0.000418 0.000633
2025-07-13 0.000066 0.000094 0.000134 0.000198 0.000297 0.000451 0.000714
2025-07-20 0.000061 0.000090 0.000132 0.000201 0.000312 0.000490 0.000810
2025-07-27 0.000057 0.000085 0.000128 0.000199 0.000319 0.000517 0.000888
2025-08-03 0.000054 0.000082 0.000126 0.000202 0.000333 0.000558 0.000997
2025-08-10 0.000050 0.000078 0.000122 0.000199 0.000337 0.000582 0.001076
2025-08-17 0.000047 0.000074 0.000118 0.000198 0.000343 0.000610 0.001168
2025-08-24 0.000043 0.000070 0.000114 0.000195 0.000348 0.000638 0.001266
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000065 0.000108 0.000189 0.000345 0.000650 0.001335
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000063 0.000107 0.000191 0.000359 0.000698 0.001491
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000061 0.000106 0.000195 0.000377 0.000756 0.001681
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000058 0.000102 0.000191 0.000377 0.000778 0.001790
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000054 0.000096 0.000183 0.000368 0.000778 0.001844
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000052 0.000094 0.000183 0.000379 0.000822 0.002020
2025-10-12 0.000028 0.000051 0.000094 0.000186 0.000394 0.000880 0.002243
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000049 0.000092 0.000185 0.000399 0.000914 0.002410
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000048 0.000091 0.000187 0.000414 0.000975 0.002667
2025-11-02 0.000024 0.000046 0.000088 0.000185 0.000417 0.001005 0.002836